US
market continues to climb higher towards all time high today despite
worsening economic data over the last two days. The internals on this
rally continues
to be extremely suspicious. The bonds market and the total equities put
call ratio just aren't moving in tandem in a typical bull market
fashion much.
In fact, total equities put call ratio was higher in favor of put
options trading, putting the indicator into the uncertain zone once
again rather than support
today's rally. I am suspecting that traders are already taking put
options (Learn about what
put options are) positions ahead of the looming psychological resistance level. This is sign that making that new high, if it happens at all, is going to be a really hard thing to do.This Friday's jobs report is expecting some really high numbers and if it fails to meet that expectation, even if its higher, it might spark that pull back I have been talking about.
Indeed,
this is going to be a new high that is going to be really hard to make.
I am not a person who likes to go against the trend but this rally just
doesn't add
up so far and evidence are still overwhelming in favor of a market
crash during this period of time going into 2016. As such, I have
switched to an extremely
short term trading methodology in order to take very quick profits on
this "rally". How short? Well, how about 9% profit in one day? Thats the call
options trade I helped my Master's Stock Options Picks subscribers make
today on EWZ which gained 5.6% in one day. (Check out my
Master's Stock Options Picks Service now! Get an immediate 50% refund on your subscription if you subscribe today!)
The
market has persisted in deeply short term overbought position so far,
making it extremely hard to set up a confident intermediate term trade
and this is certainly
not the time to employ a buy and hold strategy on stocks. So if you are
trading only stocks, this is definitely the time to be patient.
Market Crash Timer: ORANGE
For now, the market remains in short term bull trend within an intermediate and primary neutral trend.
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