Stock Market Analysis

Tuesday, April 05, 2011

Dow Continues To Struggle Sideways

The Dow went sideways today as the service industry and store sales slowed, closing downwards marginally by 6 points.

Even though ISM services and redbook reported disappointing numbers, the market still found strength to climb back up from a negative open until the FOMC minutes released in the afternoon. Even though the FOMC minutes were largely as expected, investors still sold off following the release, leading to a mixed close. The sense of the market being overextended is still strong and strong intraday profit taking is now evident. As such, I won't be surprised to see the kind of short term profit taking retreat I spoke of last week.

The Dow continues to struggle at its short term 12,400 points resistance level. Such resistance usually resolves itself in two ways; Retreat to retest short term support before rebounding to new highs or go sideways until 30MA or 50MA catches up before making new highs. Of the two ways, a retest of the short term support, which is the 30MA in this case, would better guarantee a steady bull trend going forward. As such, it might be a good time to start identifying mid term candidates in order to prepare for an entry when the breakout first reveals itself.

For now, the Dow remains in a short term bull trend, intermediate bull trend and primary bull trend.
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