Santa's More Drunk Than Hangover?
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
While I thought Santa Claus's only on a hangover yesterday, it sure seems like he is still drunk. Market continue to be thinly traded today as investors continue to linger in the holiday mood. In fact, Larry Kudlow and Dylan Ratigan are both still on holiday! If these die hard market guys are on holiday, no wonder the rest are too. The few participants in the market today are greeted by the assassination of Pakistan's Bhutto, shaking the middle east a little as well as durable goods orders coming in much lower than expected. Finding themselves few and lonely, the only thing these few investors could do is to take some profit off the table after a 4 days run. What happens when a thinly traded market sell off? Yes, the effect is much greater than in a heavily traded market. Bond yields returning to contango and rising gold prices today, indicated a small flight to quality. There is still no reason to be really pessimistic nor optimistic now. Hold on to your hats.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Volume continue to be extremely low today, making technical analysis based on volume and price indicators highly inaccurate. I shall maintain my previous technical view and see how the rest of the year unwinds over the final 2 trading days.
While I thought Santa Claus's only on a hangover yesterday, it sure seems like he is still drunk. Market continue to be thinly traded today as investors continue to linger in the holiday mood. In fact, Larry Kudlow and Dylan Ratigan are both still on holiday! If these die hard market guys are on holiday, no wonder the rest are too. The few participants in the market today are greeted by the assassination of Pakistan's Bhutto, shaking the middle east a little as well as durable goods orders coming in much lower than expected. Finding themselves few and lonely, the only thing these few investors could do is to take some profit off the table after a 4 days run. What happens when a thinly traded market sell off? Yes, the effect is much greater than in a heavily traded market. Bond yields returning to contango and rising gold prices today, indicated a small flight to quality. There is still no reason to be really pessimistic nor optimistic now. Hold on to your hats.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Volume continue to be extremely low today, making technical analysis based on volume and price indicators highly inaccurate. I shall maintain my previous technical view and see how the rest of the year unwinds over the final 2 trading days.
Labels: fundamental analysis, technical analysis, us economy
posted by Jason Ng at 4:29 PM
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