Stock Market Analysis

Wednesday, August 01, 2007

The Beginning Of The Re-Rebound?

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There are little or no fundamental to talk about that contributed directly to the market action today. In my opinion, market movement these few days are purely technical. Remember I speculated that the Dow would retreat back down to the weekly 30MA line before staging a real rebound? The Dow went to a low of 13132.65 today, 132.65 points to the weekly 30MA line and then rebounded to end the day higher. Our momentum indicators revealed a definite reversal of bearish momentum to bullish momentum today, again, strongly suggesting that a rebound is imminent. Even though it is hard to pin point the exact day, I would say within these couple of days. So, some of you are asking me, hey, what happens if the Dow breaks below the weekly 30MA line? Well, such a break may not also indicate a full scale bear trend as we saw happened back in 13 June 06 and 19 April 05. When it happens, we need to take into consideration a lot of other fundamental and technical factors surrounding it in order to arrive at a conclusion as to what is going on, therefore, there is no way to answer that question intelligently. Anyone who tells you what will happen if such a break happens are merely speculating.


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