Stock Market Analysis

Thursday, February 15, 2007

Stocks Extend Gains As Rate Hike Looks Dim...

FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
The Dow made another historical high today as more evidence to Uncle Ben's claims surfaced in today's economic reports. What are these evidences? A big jump in unemployment last week, a record high trade deficit, a death drop in industrial output, a weaker than expected manufacturing in Philadelphia, continued housing slump...

With the economy slowing and weakening at this pace, surely there are no reasons why interest rates should be further raised. The only question is, what matters more to an economy? Higher interest rate? A weaker economy? Even Uncle Ben couldn't answer to that question. So far, Uncle Ben's so caught up with trying to tie down baby boomer's money in the markets by giving investors exactly what they want to hear and see that few questioned or answered to these fundamentals. Seriously, what is actually going to cause severe damage to the US economy is the large scale baby boomer drawout looming in the horizon and by giving them a reason to continue to keep their money in the markets is certainly one way to delay the inevitable.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
No surprise today as markets continued its advance at a slower pace. The Dow looks like it is ready to move sideways again in preparation for yet another step in its staircase formation. Volume of trade is significantly lower today indicating a lack of follow up to the rally yesterday. This is hardly surprising as that is the way the Dow behaved since the rally begun. Tomorrow is going to be a critical day for the Nasdaq Composite as it has reached the 2500 resistance level at last. Tomorrow will reveal if it will make a break and begin a bull trend or not. Things still look good for a break as short term stochastics is still a small jump away from being overbought and MACD continue to show growing upside momentum. Even though that gave me enough reasons to believe that Nasdaq will at least make a short term surge, I will not change my sentiments untill I see actual proof of a break.


COMPQX Technical Chart By Worden Brothers TC2007 Charting Software
Voted Best Software By Readers Of Stocks & Commodity Magazine Since 1993!



The Revolution In Forex Trading System!

Labels: , , , , , , , , , , ,

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home